2018 Washington Initiative 1631

Initiative 1631

Washington Carbon Emissions Fee and Revenue Allocation Initiative
Results
Choice
Votes %
Yes 1,340,725 43.44%
No 1,745,703 56.56%
Total votes 3,086,428 100.00%

County results
Congressional district results
Source: Washington Secretary of State[1]

The Washington Carbon Emissions Fee and Revenue Allocation Initiative, also known as Initiative 1631 or the Protect Washington Act[2] was a ballot initiative that appeared on ballots in the State of Washington in the November 2018 election.[3] The initiative proposed to reduce pollution by levying a fee on greenhouse gas emissions generated within the state of Washington, and using that revenue to support air quality and energy projects, as well as water quality and forest health initiatives.[3] The measure failed with 56.3% of voters rejecting it.[4][1] As of 2018, more had been spent in campaigning for and against the initiative than on any other ballot measure in Washington history.[5]

Ballot title

The ballot title was as follows:[6]

Initiative Measure No. 1631 concerns pollution.

This measure would charge pollution fees on sources of greenhouse gas pollutants and use the revenue to reduce pollution, promote clean energy, and address climate impacts, under oversight of a public board.

Should this measure be enacted into law?

Measure design

The measure stated that, beginning on January 1, 2020, a fee of $15 would be enacted on each metric ton of carbon emitted in the state of Washington. The fee would increase by $2 every year until the state's greenhouse gas emissions target for 2035 is met, and the state's emissions target for 2050 is on track to be met.[3] These goals had previously been set by the Washington State Legislature, which passed a law in 2008 that required the state to reduce its emissions to 1990 levels by 2020, 25% below 1990 levels by 2035, and 80% below 1990 levels by 2050. As of 2018, the state is not on track to achieve those goals.[7]

Background

Environmental advocates in Washington had previously attempted to pass carbon pricing measures. Washington Initiative 732, a "tax swap" proposal to levy a tax on carbon emissions and simultaneously reduce the state's sales tax, had appeared on the ballot in the 2016 election, but failed to pass.[8] Initiative 1631 differed in that it proposed to use revenue from carbon fees to invest in projects to reduce pollution.[9] These include projects related to transportation, energy efficiency, carbon sequestrations in farms and forests, and clean energy. The initiative also proposed to invest over $250 million in climate adaptation in the areas of forestry and water conservation.[10] The particular projects funded would be determined by a board appointed by the Governor of Washington that would be directed to invest 70% of the revenue in clean energy.[11]

Support

The initiative was drafted by a broad coalition of labor, faith, social justice, health, tribal, and environmental justice groups, such as Front and Centered, a coalition of people of color and low-income people advocating for a just transition.[3] It was also supported by Carbon Washington, the organization that had put Initiative 732 on the ballot.[12] Other organizations that supported the initiative included Stand.earth, The Nature Conservancy, and local chapters of 350.org and the Sierra Club. Elected officials who supported this initiative included United States Representative Pramila Jayapal and Washington Governor Jay Inslee.[3]

Opposition

The "No on 1631" campaign was sponsored by the Western States Petroleum Association.[3] The American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers and its members spent over $30 million to defeat the measure.[13] Companies that funded the campaign against the initiative included Cascade Natural Gas,[3] BP, Royal Dutch Shell, Chevron, and Phillips 66.[14] Atmospheric sciences professor Cliff Mass opposed the initiative.[15]

Others opposed the measure because section 9(c) specifically exempted "Fossil fuels directly or eventually supplied to a light and power business for purposes of generating electricity" from the carbon tax.[3] This meant that coal, gas, and diesel power plants would not directly be responsible for paying the carbon tax. However the majority of electricity generation in Washington state is derived from renewable sources. A 2017 report by The Washington Post[16] indicated that 68% of electricity generated in Washington state comes from hydropower and 7% is from wind turbines. The same analysis further indicated that only 4% of Washington's energy comes from burning coal, all of which is generated by the Centralia Power Plant. This plant will begin phasing out its two coal boilers beginning in the year 2020 and transition completely to natural gas by the year 2025. Natural gas currently accounts for only 10% of Washington's energy generation, according to the Washington Post analysis.

Ultimately, the initiative did not pass during the 2018 November election.

Results

Initiative 1631 failed with 57% voting against.[17]

By county

County results
County[18] No Yes Margin Total votes
# % # % # %
Adams 3,362 80.12% 834 19.88% 2,528 60.25% 4,196
Asotin 6,795 74.56% 2,318 25.44% 4,477 49.13% 9,113
Benton 56,383 75.01% 18,788 24.99% 37,595 50.01% 75,171
Chelan 22,538 67.11% 11,048 32.89% 11,490 34.21% 33,586
Clallam 24,470 61.79% 15,135 38.21% 9,335 23.57% 39,605
Clark 114,643 59.22% 78,935 40.78% 35,708 18.45% 193,578
Columbia 1,771 80.03% 442 19.97% 1,329 60.05% 2,213
Cowlitz 30,632 69.75% 13,285 30.25% 17,347 39.50% 43,917
Douglas 11,372 75.92% 3,607 24.08% 7,765 51.84% 14,979
Ferry 2,498 74.54% 853 25.46% 1,645 49.09% 3,351
Franklin 16,818 75.23% 5,536 24.77% 11,282 50.47% 22,354
Garfield 1,107 82.61% 233 17.39% 874 65.22% 1,340
Grant 20,665 80.12% 5,126 19.88% 15,539 60.25% 25,791
Grays Harbor 19,922 70.46% 8,351 29.54% 11,571 40.93% 28,273
Island 24,271 57.80% 17,721 42.20% 6,550 15.60% 41,992
Jefferson 8,902 43.26% 11,674 56.74% -2,772 -13.47% 20,576
King 403,675 42.22% 552,558 57.78% -148,883 -15.57% 956,233
Kitsap 69,603 57.64% 51,146 42.36% 18,457 15.29% 120,749
Kittitas 12,998 67.40% 6,287 32.60% 6,711 34.80% 19,285
Klickitat 6,913 64.75% 3,764 35.25% 3,149 29.49% 10,677
Lewis 27,020 79.31% 7,049 20.69% 19,971 58.62% 34,069
Lincoln 4,753 85.01% 838 14.99% 3,915 70.02% 5,591
Mason 18,953 68.39% 8,762 31.61% 10,191 36.77% 27,715
Okanogan 11,789 70.25% 4,993 29.75% 6,796 40.50% 16,782
Pacific 7,258 66.52% 3,653 33.48% 3,605 33.04% 10,911
Pend Oreille 5,342 77.24% 1,574 22.76% 3,768 54.48% 6,916
Pierce 205,194 62.87% 121,209 37.13% 83,985 25.73% 326,403
San Juan 4,036 36.51% 7,020 63.49% -2,984 -26.99% 11,056
Skagit 34,594 63.22% 20,128 36.78% 14,466 26.44% 54,722
Skamania 3,702 65.93% 1,913 34.07% 1,789 31.86% 5,615
Snohomish 195,431 60.73% 126,389 39.27% 69,042 21.45% 321,820
Spokane 148,279 65.36% 78,591 34.64% 69,688 30.72% 226,870
Stevens 17,717 79.18% 4,659 20.82% 13,058 58.36% 22,376
Thurston 69,108 55.43% 55,574 44.57% 13,534 10.85% 124,682
Wahkiakum 1,707 70.80% 704 29.20% 1,003 41.60% 2,411
Walla Walla 16,799 65.76% 8,747 34.24% 8,052 31.52% 25,546
Whatcom 56,051 51.20% 53,413 48.80% 2,638 2.41% 109,464
Whitman 9,873 57.11% 7,416 42.89% 2,457 14.21% 17,289
Yakima 48,759 70.45% 20,452 29.55% 28,307 40.90% 69,211
Totals 1,745,703 56.56% 1,340,725 43.44% 404,978 13.12% 3,086,428

References

  1. ^ a b "November 6, 2018 General Election Results, Initiative Measure No. 1631 concerns pollution". Secretary of State. State of Washington. 27 November 2018. Retrieved 20 February 2019.
  2. ^ Funes, Yessenia (5 July 2018). "Why Washington's Latest Carbon Fee Might Just Pass". Earther. Gizmodo Media Group. Gizmodo. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h "Washington Carbon Emissions Fee and Revenue Allocation Initiative (2018)". Ballotpedia. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
  4. ^ "Washington voters reject carbon fee Initiative 1631". KING-TV. 2018-10-18. Retrieved 2018-12-08.
  5. ^ Aronoff, Kate (November 1, 2018). "BP Claims to Support Taxing Carbon, but It's Spending $13 Million Against an Initiative That Would Do Just That". The Intercept. Retrieved July 10, 2022.
  6. ^ "Voters' Guide, 2018 General Election, Measures". Secretary of State. State of Washington. Archived from the original on 20 February 2019. Retrieved 20 February 2019.
  7. ^ St. Onge, Camille. "Washington greenhouse gas limits". Department of Ecology. State of Washington. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
  8. ^ "Washington Carbon Emission Tax and Sales Tax Reduction, Initiative 732 (2016)". Ballotpedia. Lucy Burns Institute. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
  9. ^ "How Does I-1631 Compared to Other Recent Carbon Pricing Proposals in Washington State?". Carbon Washington. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
  10. ^ "Learn More". Yes on 1631. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
  11. ^ "Don't call it a tax: Carbon fee heads to ballot". crosscut.com. Retrieved 2018-10-14.
  12. ^ "We support the carbon fee initiative I-1631 + news". Carbon Washington. Archived from the original on 21 April 2018. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
  13. ^ Brown, Alleen (June 7, 2020). "A Powerful Petrochemical Lobbying Group Advanced Anti-Protest Legislation in the Midst of the Pandemic". The Intercept. Retrieved March 17, 2021.
  14. ^ Yoder, Kate (3 July 2018). "Washington state will likely vote on a carbon price in November. The oil industry's already fighting it". Grist. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
  15. ^ "A climatologist's argument against I-1631's carbon fee". MyNorthwest.com. 15 October 2018.
  16. ^ "Mapping how the United States generates its electricity". washingtonpost.com. Retrieved 2018-11-05.
  17. ^ Wyman, Kim (November 6, 2018). "Initiative Measure No. 1631 Initiative Measure No. 1631 concerns pollution". Secretary of State of Washington. Archived from the original on August 29, 2025. Retrieved November 21, 2025.
  18. ^ Wyman, Kim (November 6, 2018). "Initiative Measure No. 1631 Initiative Measure No. 1631 concerns pollution. - County Results". Secretary of State of Washington. Archived from the original on August 6, 2025. Retrieved November 21, 2025.
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