2024 British Columbia general election
Canadian provincial election

2024 British Columbia general election
October 19, 2024 (2024-10-19)
All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia
47 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout58.4%[1] (Increase 3.9 pp)
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader David Eby John Rustad Sonia Furstenau
Party New Democratic Conservative Green
Leader since October 21, 2022 March 31, 2023 September 14, 2020
Leader's seat Vancouver-Point Grey Nechako Lakes Ran in Victoria-Beacon Hill (lost)[a]
Last election 57 seats, 47.69% 0 seats, 1.91% 2 seats, 15.09%
Seats before 55 8 2
Seats won 47 44 2
Seat change Decrease 8 Increase 36 Steady
Popular vote 944,463 911,142 173,493
Percentage 44.86% 43.28% 8.24%
Swing Decrease 2.83 pp Increase 41.37 pp Decrease 6.85 pp
Popular vote by riding
Composition of the Legislative Assembly after the election
Premier before election

David Eby
New Democratic

Premier after election

David Eby
New Democratic

The 2024 British Columbia general election was held on October 19, 2024, to elect 93 members (MLAs) of the Legislative Assembly to serve in the 43rd parliament of the Canadian province of British Columbia.

The election was the first to be held since a significant redistribution of electoral boundaries was finalised in 2023. The Legislative Assembly also expanded in size from 87 seats to 93 seats. The election saw a broad political realignment in British Columbia;[2] amid a resurgence for the Conservative Party of British Columbia, the official opposition BC United (formerly the BC Liberals) withdrew from the race a little over a month before the election to avoid splitting the vote. BC United formally endorsed the Conservatives, with several BC United candidates either defecting to the Conservatives or standing as independent or unaligned candidates; this marked the party's first absence from a provincial election since 1900.

The NDP won a third term in government and second consecutive majority government, but with a net loss of eight seats. The Conservatives formed the official opposition, with their best electoral performance in 72 years.[3][4]

Redistribution of electoral districts

The Electoral Boundaries Commission was required to complete a redistribution of seats following the 2020 general election, and the government subsequently appointed commissioners in October 2021. Their final report was completed April 3, 2023.[5] An act was passed later that year, providing for a consequential increase in seats from 87 to 93, upon the next election.[6] The following changes were made:

Abolished New
Renaming of districts
Drawn from other districts
Reorganization of districts

Background

Section 23 of British Columbia's Constitution Act provides that general elections occur on the third Saturday in October of the fourth calendar year after the last election.[7][8] The same section, though, makes the fixed election date subject to the lieutenant governor's prerogative to dissolve the Legislative Assembly as they see fit (in practice, on the advice of the province's premier or following a vote of non-confidence).[7][9]

Standings

42nd Parliament of British Columbia – Movement in seats held up to the election (2020–2024)
Party 2020 Gain/(loss) due to 2024
Leaves
caucus 		Resignation
as MLA 		Removed
from caucus 		Switching
allegiance 		Byelection hold
New Democratic 57 (1) (2) (1) 2 55
Liberal 28 (2) (1) (7) 2 20
BC United (from April 12, 2023)
Conservative – 8 8
Green 2 2
Independent – 1 2 (1) 2
Total 87 – (4) – – 4 87

Incumbents not standing for re-election

MLA Party Seat First elected Date announced
Dan Ashton   BC United Penticton 2013 December 20, 2023[10]
Harry Bains   New Democratic Surrey-Newton 2005 July 4, 2024[11]
Shirley Bond   BC United Prince George-Valemount 2001 August 29, 2024[12]
Katrine Conroy   New Democratic Kootenay West 2005 May 10, 2024[13][14]
Katrina Chen   New Democratic Burnaby-Lougheed 2017 November 22, 2023[15]
Doug Clovechok   BC United Columbia River-Revelstoke 2017 February 24, 2024[16][17]
Mitzi Dean   New Democratic Esquimalt-Metchosin 2017 August 31, 2024[18]
Mike de Jong   BC United Abbotsford West 1994 by-election February 14, 2024[19]
Fin Donnelly   New Democratic Coquitlam-Burke Mountain 2020 May 9, 2024[20]
Kevin Falcon   BC United Vancouver-Quilchena 2022 by-election[b] August 28, 2024[21]
Rob Fleming   New Democratic Victoria-Swan Lake 2005 July 4, 2024[11]
George Heyman   New Democratic Vancouver-Fairview 2013 March 4, 2024[22]
Greg Kyllo   BC United Shuswap 2013 November 22, 2023[23]
Michael Lee   BC United Vancouver-Langara 2017 July 11, 2024[24]
Norm Letnick   BC United Kelowna-Lake Country 2009 November 22, 2023[25]
Renee Merrifield   BC United Kelowna-Mission 2020 May 16, 2024[26]
Mike Morris   BC United Prince George-Mackenzie 2013 March 21, 2023[27]
Adam Olsen   Green Saanich North and the Islands 2017 June 25, 2024[28]
Bruce Ralston   New Democratic Surrey-Whalley 2005 July 2, 2024[29]
Murray Rankin   New Democratic Oak Bay-Gordon Head 2020 June 3, 2024[30]
Jennifer Rice   New Democratic North Coast 2013 May 16, 2024[31]
Selina Robinson   Independent[c] Coquitlam-Maillardville 2013 February 5, 2024[33]
Ellis Ross   BC United Skeena 2017 January 22, 2024[34]
Doug Routley   New Democratic Nanaimo-North Cowichan 2005 September 26, 2023[35]
Nicholas Simons   New Democratic Powell River-Sunshine Coast 2005 September 1, 2023[36]
Ben Stewart   BC United Kelowna West 2018 by-election[d] November 22, 2023[37]
Todd Stone   BC United Kamloops-South Thompson 2013 August 29, 2024[38]
Jordan Sturdy   BC United West Vancouver-Sea to Sky 2013 January 12, 2024[39]
Jackie Tegart   BC United Fraser-Nicola 2013 September 3, 2024[40]

BC United MLA Karin Kirkpatrick originally announced on February 8, 2024, that she would not seek re-election.[41] However, after the campaign suspension of BC United, she changed her mind and decided to run as an independent candidate.[42]

Withdrawal of BC United

On August 28, 2024, BC United leader and Leader of the Opposition Kevin Falcon announced that the party would pull out of the campaign. Falcon endorsed the BC Conservatives, saying "John Rustad and I haven't always agreed on everything, but one thing is clear: our province cannot take another four years of the NDP". Falcon noted that this was done to prevent vote splitting in competitive ridings.[43]

On September 20, BCU announced that it would not field any paper candidates in this campaign. Under BC's election law, they can still maintain their registration as long as they nominate candidates in the next round (tentatively scheduled for 2028).[44]

At the time of BC United's withdrawal, the party had nominated candidates in 56 ridings.[45][e] Mike Bernier (Peace River South) pointed out that Falcon, as leader, only had the power to withdraw the party from the forthcoming contest, but could not do so on behalf of the individual candidates.[47] Elections BC confirmed that that was a correct interpretation of the elections law, and only the candidates could choose to withdraw or to stand as independent or unaffiliated on the ballot.[47] Several BCU candidates were openly considering accepting a Conservative nomination.[48] Bernier confirmed that he had spoken with Karin Kirkpatrick (West Vancouver-Capilano) about the possibility of several of the BCU candidates forming their own alliance or possible new party before the required registration deadline,[47] or even forming a party post-election, as Legislature rules recognize a party as long as it has at least two MLAs.[47]

Of the 56 originally nominated BC United candidates, 30 withdrew from the campaign, 9 continued to run as a Conservative candidate, while 17 continued to run as an independent or unaffilated candidate.

Independent wave

40 independent and 14 unaffiliated candidates, a record number, were in the race by the time nominations closed.[49][50] 18 of those candidates were previously BC United candidates or MLAs. This is notable, as only one Independent has been elected to the Legislature in the past 60 years—Vicki Huntington (Delta South) in 2009 and 2013. At the beginning of the campaign, six incumbent MLAs announced that they intended to run as such, of which five had been with BCU and one with the NDP.[51] Karin Kirkpatrick expressed the view that the Conservatives had brought this phenomenon on themselves in believing that BCU members would follow Falcon's lead in switching over. "That’s not how democracy works. People want to run. They’re going to run, and so they’re floundering right now."[51]

Indigenous candidates

Eleven candidates of Indigenous background stood for election—two Conservatives, seven New Democrats and two Greens.[52]

Outcomes for Indigenous candidates
Party Candidate Riding Elected
  Conservative Christopher Jason Sankey North Coast-Haida Gwaii 2nd
Á'a:líya Warbus Chilliwack-Cultus Lake Green tickY
  NDP Murphy Abraham Nechako Lakes 2nd
Tamara Davidson North Coast-Haida Gwaii Green tickY
Francyne Joe Fraser-Nicola 2nd
Michael Moses Cariboo-Chilcotin 2nd
Joan Phillip Vancouver-Strathcona Green tickY
Clay Pountney Prince George-Valemount 2nd
Debra Toporowski Cowichan Valley Green tickY
  Green Dana-Lyn Mackenzie Vancouver-Yaletown 3rd
Gamlakyeltxw Wilhelm Marsden Bulkley Valley-Stikine 3rd

Vote counting

A polling place for the general election in Surrey.

After trials during by-elections in 2022, Elections BC adopted digital voter rolls and electronic tabulation machines for the first time during this election. The digital roll made it possible to cast ballots at any polling location across the province and enabled mail-in ballots returned before the last day of advance voting – October 16 – to be counted instantly (they were previously counted two weeks after Election Day, thus casting doubt in certain close results).[53][54]

The tabulators facilitated the vote count process and it was projected that 98% of votes would be reported one hour after polls close, not accounting for mail-in ballots returned after the last day of advance voting, and close results subject to manual recount.[55]

An atmospheric river event struck southwestern British Columbia from October 18 to 20; rainfall was heaviest in the Lower Mainland on October 19, causing flooding in North Shore communities and Surrey, and several street and highway closures.[56][57] Elections BC stated that paper ballots would be available at voting sites in the event of power outages, and that it had made BC Hydro aware of the locations of voting sites so that they can be prioritized in the event of an outage. While it was suggested that the weather could impact voter turnout, Elections BC stated that a record number of advance ballots had been cast for the election, while the last day of advance voting on October 16 had set a single-day record of 223,000 ballots cast.[58]

Timeline

Changes in seats held (2020–2024)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Vancouver-Quilchena February 7, 2022 Andrew Wilkinson █ Liberal Resigned[59] April 30, 2022[60] Kevin Falcon █ Liberal
Surrey South April 30, 2022 Stephanie Cadieux █ Liberal Resigned[61] September 10, 2022[62] Elenore Sturko █ Liberal
Nechako Lakes August 18, 2022 John Rustad █ Liberal Removed from caucus[63] █ Independent
February 16, 2023 █ Independent Crossed the floor[64] █ Conservative
Vancouver-Mount Pleasant February 22, 2023 Melanie Mark █ New Democratic Resigned[65] June 24, 2023 Joan Phillip █ New Democratic
Langford-Juan de Fuca March 31, 2023 John Horgan █ New Democratic Resigned[66] June 24, 2023 Ravi Parmar █ New Democratic
 →  BC Liberals become BC United (April 12, 2023)
Abbotsford South September 13, 2023 Bruce Banman █ BC United Crossed the floor[67] █ Conservative
Parksville-Qualicum September 17, 2023 Adam Walker █ New Democratic Removed from caucus[68] █ Independent
Coquitlam-Maillardville March 6, 2024 Selina Robinson █ New Democratic Left caucus[32] █ Independent
Cariboo-Chilcotin May 31, 2024 Lorne Doerkson █ BC United Crossed the floor[69] █ Conservative
Surrey South June 3, 2024 Elenore Sturko █ BC United Crossed the floor[70] █ Conservative
Richmond North Centre July 29, 2024 Teresa Wat █ BC United Crossed the floor[71] █ Conservative
Delta South September 3, 2024 Ian Paton █ BC United Crossed the floor to run for the BC Conservatives[72][73] █ Conservative
Kamloops-North Thompson September 3, 2024 Peter Milobar █ BC United Crossed the floor to run for the BC Conservatives[72][73] █ Conservative
Surrey-White Rock September 3, 2024 Trevor Halford █ BC United Crossed the floor to run for the BC Conservatives[72][73] █ Conservative

2020

2021

  • February 17: Wilkinson officially resigns, triggering a year-long leadership race.[76]

2022

2023

2024

Campaign

New Democratic

On September 20, one day before the writ was dropped, the BC New Democratic Party unveiled their campaign bus in Surrey, which is home to some anticipated key ridings, marking the start of their campaign.[95]

On September 23, the BC NDP released a video of Rustad saying he regrets receiving the "so-called [COVID-19] vaccine", as well as claiming the vaccine mandates were about population control.[96] BC NDP leader David Eby criticized these statements, asserting that such beliefs are based on internet conspiracies and that Rustad could not be trusted on health policy.[96]

On September 25, Eby promised his party would provide 25,000 new homes while financing 40% of the purchase price for first-time home buyers, at an annual cost of $1.29 billion.[97] On September 27, he stated that the government would continue its focus on the use of prefabricated homes as a strategy to ease the housing crisis, with the government pre-approving designs for permits and developing skills training programs in consultation with the industry.[98]

Following the Conservative Party's tax rebate proposal, the New Democrats announced their tax relief plan on September 29. Eby announced that $10,000 of individual income will be exempted from annual tax, adding that 90% of taxpayers would save $1,000 per year.[99][100]

On October 1, Bowinn Ma, NDP candidate in North Vancouver-Lonsdale, announced the party would connect West Vancouver and Metrotown, Burnaby with a Bus Rapid Transit line, which will be entirely separated from traffic. In short term, they would also guarantee the existing R2 RapidBus would be extended from Phibbs Exchange to Metrotown.[101]

On October 4, the NDP filed a petition with the Supreme Court of British Columbia seeking to compel Elections BC to change the name of the Conservative Party on ballot papers from "Conservative Party" to "B.C. Conservative Party", on the grounds that Rustad was "pretending to be part of the federal Conservative Party". A court ruling in favour of the NDP would require all ballot papers to be reprinted.[102]

Conservative

On September 21, John Rustad chose to kick off the campaign in CRAB Park, a homeless encampment near Vancouver's Downtown Eastside.[103] In his speech, he emphasized the severity of the addiction issue, as well as the importance of removing the carbon tax and investing in healthcare.[103]

On September 22, Rustad announced that he would close all safe injection sites in the province, and replace them with mental health and addictions treatment centres.[104][105] He referred to the sites as "drug dens", and pledged to end the decriminalization and safe supply policy introduced by the NDP government.[104] In response, NDP leader David Eby and Green leader Sonia Furstenau both condemned the platform, pointing out the closure of safe injection sites would push the drug addicts back on streets.[105] The following day, Elenore Sturko clarified that the party did not plan to immediately close all of the safe injection sites at once as implicated by Rustad, but transition them to treatment centres gradually. Sturko stated that "this is about transitioning people, not medicating them", and that "we need to make sure the model is supported medically".[106]

On September 23, Rustad revealed the Conservatives' plan for tax rebates to alleviate high housing costs, which he claimed would be the greatest tax cut in BC history.[107] The rebate would allow renters and homeowners with mortgage to exempt up to $3,000 per month from their provincial income tax. The program would start in 2026, where the exemption would begin with $1,500 per month, costing $900 million for the first year. The exemption amount would increase by $500 each year, and the final annual cost would be at $3.5 billion.[108][109]

On September 25, Sturko requested an investigation by the Registrar of Lobbyists for BC against Ravi Kahlon, the incumbent Minister of Housing. She alleged the minister might be involved in a conflict of interest as his sister Parm Kahlon owns a government relations firm, where a client of the firm would be a potential partner in housing projects.[110] Kahlon has refuted the allegation and defended that the housing company does not do work with the government.[110]

On September 27, Rustad announced the housing platform for the Conservative Party. He committed to set deadlines for municipalities to issue rezoning, development and building permits. He also intended to repeal the BC's Step Code policy and Net-Zero mandate, which he claimed to have driven the construction cost up by 30–40%. On top of the NDP's transit-oriented policy, Rustad further assured they will amend the bill to require grocery stores and small businesses to be within walking distance of homes.[111]

On September 28, a few hours before the candidate nomination deadline, David Eby issued an open letter requesting that Rustad to drop candidates which he considered to have "dangerous and extremist views". Eby singled out five candidates who had perpetuated conspiracy theories regarding the results of the 2020 United States presidential election, Sheldon Clare for comparing gun control to Japanese internment camps, and Bryan Breguet for his "bigoted and sexist views". Rustad declined, and suggested in a reply that Eby investigate Ravi Kahlon.[112] The party released its agricultural plan the same day, including investments in agricultural development, financial support for yield-increasing measures and expanding the Buy BC program. Rustad also promised to review the Agricultural Land Commission.[113]

On October 14, the Conservative Party released their education plan, including ending the SOGI 123 program (a program of materials related to gender identity and sexual orientation, which Rustad considered to be indoctrination of children), reintroducing letter grades for grades 4 to 9, and reinstating provincial standardized tests for grades 10 and 12.[114][115]

During a speech to his supporters on election night, Rustad pledged to make it "as difficult as possible" for the NDP if they formed a minority government, in order to prevent "any more destruction in the province".[116]

Green

On October 8, following the televised debate, American actor Mark Ruffalo endorsed the Green Party.[117]

Candidates

Candidates by Party

Party Leader[118] Candidates[50]
New Democratic David Eby 93
Conservative John Rustad 93
Green Sonia Furstenau 69
Independent / Unaffiliated[f] 54
Freedom Amrit Birring 5
Libertarian Alex Joehl 4
Communist Kimball Cariou 3
Christian Heritage Rod Taylor 2
Candidate contests[119]
Candidates
nominated		 Constituencies Party
NDP Con Grn Ind Un Free Ltn Comm CHP Totals
2 10 10 10 20
3 42 42 42 32 6 2 1 1 126
4 30 30 30 28 18 6 2 2 2 2 120
5 9 9 9 7 13 4 2 1 45
6 2 2 2 2 3 2 1 12
Total 93 93 93 69 40 14 5 4 3 2 323

Shelly Jan, an unaffiliated candidate in Langley-Abbotsford, withdrew after nominations were closed, but not in time to have her name removed from the printed ballots.[g] Carlos Suarez Rubio (Langley-Walnut Grove), initially classified as unaffiliated, was later designated as an independent candidate on the ballot.

Results

Final count result

On October 20 at 14:30, PDT, Elections BC completed the initial count. This count included votes cast at district electoral offices, at advance voting and on Final Voting Day. It also includes vote-by-mail ballots that were returned by mail before the end of advance voting. The remaining votes were counted during Final count, which concluded on October 28.[54] As a result of the remaining ballots counted, the Surrey-Guildford district flipped from Conservative to NDP, resulting in a narrow NDP majority.[121][122] Shortly after the final count was concluded, Lieutenant Governor Janet Austin invited David Eby to continue as Premier of British Columbia.[123]

Judicial recounts were conducted in two electoral districts:[124]

A third recount was ordered in Prince George-Mackenzie, following the discovery of an uncounted ballot box containing around 861 votes. Eleven tabulator tapes were also found to have been missed, affecting the results in six districts.[125]

The final results were not affected by these recounts since no seat was flipped.[126] This was widely anticipated, as in the 21st century only one recount has resulted in a seat change, being that of West Vancouver-Sea to Sky in 2020.[125]

The 2024 election was significant for several reasons:

  • This was the first time since 1975 that the Conservative Party won seats.[127]
  • It was also the first general election in British Columbia, as well as any other Canadian province or territory, to elect more women than men, with 49 of 93 (52%) female MLAs.[h][128]
  • The province has not experienced such a delay in determining the eventual winner since 1952.[129]
Final count results[130][131]
Party Leader Candidates Votes Seats
# ± % Change (pp) 2020 2024 ±
New Democratic David Eby 93 944,463 46,079Increase 44.86 -2.83
 
 57
47 / 93
 10Decrease
Conservative John Rustad 93 911,142 875,240Increase 43.28 41.37
 
 –
44 / 93
 44Increase
Green Sonia Furstenau 69 174,393 110,658Decrease 8.24 -6.85
 
 2
2 / 93
 Steady
  Independent/No affiliation 54 72,583 58,765Increase 3.45 3.12
 
BC United Kevin Falcon  →  BC Liberals became BC United (April 12, 2023)
Withdrew from the campaign (August 28, 2024) 		-33.77
 
 28
0 / 93
 28Decrease
Libertarian Alex Joehl 4 1,380 6,980Decrease 0.07 -0.37
Freedom Amrit Birring 5 1,267 1,267Increase 0.04 New
Communist Kimball Cariou 3 639 147Decrease 0.03 -0.01
Christian Heritage Rod Taylor 2 365 3,530Decrease 0.02 -0.19
Total 323 2,105,332 100.00%
Blank and invalid votes 2,506 12,415Decrease
Turnout 2,109,658 211,105Increase 58.45% 4.68Increase
Registered voters 3,609,288 123,430Increase

Synopsis of results

2024 British Columbia general election – synopsis of riding results (Unofficial)[132]
Riding Winning party Turnout[a 1] Votes[a 2]
2020 1st place Votes Share Margin
# 		Margin
% 		2nd place 3rd place NDP Con. Green Ind Other Total
 
Abbotsford South   Lib   Con 13,053 61.61% 5,599 26.43%   NDP   Ind % 7,454 13,053 – 681 – 21,188
Abbotsford West   Lib   Con 11,483 58.35% 4,228 21.49%   NDP   Ind % 7,255 11,483 – 940 – 19,678
Abbotsford-Mission   NDP   Con 13,523 55.38% 2,629 10.77%   NDP None % 10,894 13,523 – – – 24,417
Boundary-Similkameen   NDP   Con 11,935 48.39% 1,438 5.83%   NDP   Green % 10,497 11,935 1,454 779 – 24,665
Bulkley Valley-Stikine   NDP   Con 4,992 52.31% 1,283 13.44%   NDP   Green % 3,709 4,992 604 – 239 9,544
Burnaby Centre New   NDP 9,780 57.28% 2,486 14.56%   Con None % 9,780 7,294 – – – 17,074
Burnaby East   NDP   NDP 10,490 51.85% 2,292 11.33%   Con   Green % 10,490 8,198 1,544 – – 20,232
Burnaby North   NDP   NDP 10,724 53.26% 2,066 10.26%   Con   Ind % 10,724 8,658 – 754 – 20,136
Burnaby South-Metrotown New   NDP 7,560 49.33% 1,182 7.74%   Con   Green % 7,560 6,373 960 432 – 15,325
Burnaby-New Westminster New   NDP 10,647 59.99% 4,486 25.28%   Con   Ind % 10,647 6,161 – 940 – 17,748
Cariboo-Chilcotin   Lib   Con 13,714 69.59% 7,722 39.19%   NDP None % 5,992 13,714 – – – 19,706
Chilliwack North   NDP   Con 11,776 54.58% 3,651 16.92%   NDP   Green % 8,125 11,776 1,187 487 – 21,575
Chilliwack-Cultus Lake   NDP   Con 13,656 54.58% 2,290 9.15%   NDP None % 11,366 13,656 – – – 25,022
Columbia River-Revelstoke   Lib   Con 8,768 47.92% 670 3.66%   NDP   Green % 8,098 8,768 1,430 – – 18,295
Coquitlam-Burke Mountain   NDP   NDP 11,020 50.85% 368 1.70%   Con None % 11,020 10,652 – – – 21,672
Coquitlam-Maillardville   NDP   NDP 11,972 51.80% 2,826 12.23%   Con   Green % 11,972 9,146 1,461 535 – 23,114
Courtenay-Comox   NDP   Con 13,481 38.83% 93 0.27%   NDP   Green % 13,388 13,481 7,202 647 – 34,718
Cowichan Valley   Green   NDP 11,795 40.51% 849 2.92%   Con   Green % 11,795 10,946 5,773 604 – 29,118
Delta North   NDP   NDP 10,988 52.73% 2,607 12.51%   Con   Green % 10,988 8,381 1,292 – 177 20,838
Delta South   Lib   Con 14,491 55.07% 2,669 10.14%   NDP None % 11,822 14,491 – – – 26,313
Esquimalt-Colwood New   NDP 15,238 51.47% 6,586 22.25%   Con   Green % 15,238 8,652 5,716 – – 29,606
Fraser-Nicola   Lib   Con 10,326 54.34% 3,409 17.94%   NDP   Green % 6,917 10,326 1,761 – – 19,004
Juan de Fuca-Malahat New   NDP 9,308 38.79% 141 0.59%   Con   Green % 9,308 9,167 5,522 – – 23,997
Kamloops Centre New   Con 12,372 48.83% 2,003 7.91%   NDP   Green % 10,369 12,372 2,597 – – 25,338
Kamloops-North Thompson New   Con 17,930 59.74% 8,056 26.84%   NDP   Green % 9,874 17,930 2,209 – – 30,013
Kelowna Centre New   Con 11,033 42.85% 40 0.16%   NDP   Un % 10,993 11,033 1,111 2,613 – 25,750
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream New   Con 14,303 53.92% 4,953 18.67%   NDP   Ind % 9,350 14,303 1,151 1,724 – 26,528
Kelowna-Mission   Lib   Con 14,071 51.49% 5,158 18.87%   NDP   Un % 8,913 14,071 1,349 2,996 – 27,329
Kootenay Central   NDP   NDP 8,716 39.63% 1,749 7.95%   Con   Green % 8,716 6,967 4,123 2,190 – 21,996
Kootenay-Monashee   NDP   NDP 10,202 52.04% 2,586 13.19%   Con   Green % 10,202 7,616 1,785 – – 19,603
Kootenay-Rockies   Lib   Con 8,217 42.71% 2,373 12.34%   Ind   NDP % 4,184 8,217 996 5,844 – 19,241
Ladysmith-Oceanside New   NDP 14,144 41.49% 2,047 6.00%   Con   Ind % 14,144 12,097 2,292 5,559 – 34,092
Langford-Highlands New   NDP 11,444 51.87% 3,193 14.47%   Con   Green % 11,444 8,251 2,368 – – 22,063
Langley-Abbotsford New   Con 14,341 55.65% 5,650 21.92%   NDP   Green % 8,691 14,341 1,434 1,104 200 25,770
Langley-Walnut Grove New   Con 12,121 49.56% 1,172 4.79%   NDP   Green % 10,949 12,121 1,254 134 – 24,458
Langley-Willowbrook New   Con 10,979 48.24% 867 3.81%   NDP   Green % 10,112 10,979 1,670 – – 22,761
Maple Ridge East   NDP   Con 12,058 47.02% 97 0.38%   NDP   Green % 11,961 12,058 1,626 – – 25,645
Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows   NDP   NDP 14,480 54.89% 2,579 9.78%   Con None % 14,480 11,901 – – – 26,381
Mid Island-Pacific Rim   NDP   NDP 14,042 48.74% 2,676 9.29%   Con   Green % 14,042 11,366 3,402 – – 28,810
Nanaimo-Gabriola Island New   NDP 14,663 52.75% 5,030 18.09%   Con   Green % 14,663 9,633 3,502 – – 27,798
Nanaimo-Lantzville New   NDP 15,307 51.75% 3,620 12.24%   Con   Green % 15,307 11,687 2,586 – – 29,580
Nechako Lakes   Lib   Con 7,851 67.45% 4,684 40.24%   NDP   Green % 3,167 7,851 622 – – 11,640
New Westminster-Coquitlam New   NDP 12,757 59.13% 6,319 29.29%   Con   Green % 12,757 6,438 2,380 – – 21,575
North Coast-Haida Gwaii   NDP   NDP 4,863 64.92% 2,235 29.84%   Con None % 4,863 2,628 – – – 7,491
North Island   NDP   Con 14,100 47.07% 639 2.14%   NDP   Green % 13,461 14,100 2,397 – – 29,958
North Vancouver-Lonsdale   NDP   NDP 16,759 64.88% 7,686 29.75%   Con None % 16,759 9,073 – – – 25,832
North Vancouver-Seymour   NDP   NDP 16,210 52.77% 5,215 16.98%   Con   Ind % 16,210 10,995 1,722 1,794 – 30,721
Oak Bay-Gordon Head   NDP   NDP 14,519 49.10% 5,977 20.21%   Con   Green % 14,519 8,542 6,509 – – 29,570
Peace River North   Lib   Con 11,213 74.36% 8,175 54.21%   Ind   NDP % 828 11,213 – 3,038 – 15,079
Peace River South   Lib   Con 7,182 69.84% 4,657 45.29%   Un   NDP % 576 7,182 – 2,525 – 10,283
Penticton-Summerland   Lib   Con 11,615 41.37% 317 1.13%   NDP   Un % 11,298 11,615 1,472 3,691 – 28,076
Port Coquitlam   NDP   NDP 13,843 53.87% 3,876 15.08%   Con   Green % 13,843 9,967 1,644 – 244 25,698
Port Moody-Burquitlam   NDP   NDP 13,488 52.06% 2,995 11.56%   Con   Green % 13,488 10,493 1,927 – – 25,908
Powell River-Sunshine Coast   NDP   NDP 14,474 49.62% 4,065 13.94%   Con   Green % 14,474 10,409 3,932 356 – 29,171
Prince George-Mackenzie   Lib   Con 11,307 60.92% 6,065 32.68%   NDP   Green % 5,242 11,307 1,576 435 – 18,560
Prince George-North Cariboo   Lib   Con 11,430 56.82% 7,036 34.98%   Ind   NDP % 3,426 11,430 866 4,394 – 20,116
Prince George-Valemount   Lib   Con 9,018 55.19% 3,309 20.25%   NDP   Green % 5,709 9,018 1,612 – – 16,339
Richmond Centre   NDP   Con 8,426 51.99% 2,465 15.21%   NDP   Un % 5,961 8,426 – 1,821 – 16,208
Richmond-Bridgeport   Lib   Con 9,908 58.19% 3,987 23.42%   NDP   Green % 5,921 9,908 547 651 – 17,027
Richmond-Queensborough   NDP   Con 10,052 50.91% 1,338 6.78%   NDP   Ind % 8,713 10,052 – 979 – 19,744
Richmond-Steveston   NDP   NDP 10,332 44.27% 484 2.07%   Con   Un % 10,332 9,848 803 2,354 – 23,337
Saanich North and the Islands   Green   Green 12,308 36.15% 1,349 3.96%   NDP   Con % 10,958 10,145 12,308 635 – 34,046
Saanich South   NDP   NDP 15,338 49.76% 5,335 17.31%   Con   Green % 15,338 10,003 5,485 – – 30,826
Salmon Arm-Shuswap   Lib   Con 16,566 52.11% 6,888 21.67%   NDP   Ind % 9,677 16,566 2,250 3,295 – 31,788
Skeena   Lib   Con 6,243 51.20% 824 6.76%   NDP   Green % 5,419 6,243 406 – 126 12,194
Surrey City Centre New   NDP 6,727 46.71% 236 1.64%   Con   Green % 6,727 6,491 878 160 147 14,403
Surrey North New   Con 7,954 50.67% 1,160 7.39%   NDP   Green % 6,794 7,954 662 125 162 15,697
Surrey South   Lib   Con 13,056 58.83% 3,920 17.66%   NDP None % 9,136 13,056 – – – 22,192
Surrey-Cloverdale   NDP   Con 10,268 48.32% 587 2.77%   NDP   Green % 9,681 10,268 1,150 – 153 21,252
Surrey-Fleetwood   NDP   NDP 9,923 48.60% 751 3.67%   Con   Green % 9,923 9,172 1,321 – – 20,416
Surrey-Guildford   NDP   NDP 8,947 46.93% 22 0.12%   Con   Green % 8,947 8,925 824 370 – 19,066
Surrey-Newton   NDP   NDP 7,924 51.17% 1,266 8.18%   Con   Free % 7,924 6,658 – 533 371 15,486
Surrey-Panorama   NDP   Con 8,735 49.60% 263 1.49%   NDP   Free % 8,472 8,735 – – 404 17,611
Surrey-Serpentine River New   Con 9,782 49.70% 435 2.21%   NDP   Ind % 9,347 9,782 – 554 – 19,683
Surrey-White Rock   Lib   Con 14,667 52.31% 1,968 7.02%   NDP   Ltn % 12,699 14,667 – – 671 28,037
Vancouver-Fraserview   NDP   NDP 11,896 57.18% 4,278 20.56%   Con   Green % 11,896 7,618 1,291 – – 20,805
Vancouver-Hastings   NDP   NDP 14,237 64.15% 8,846 39.86%   Con   Green % 14,237 5,391 2,409 157 – 22,194
Vancouver-Kensington   NDP   NDP 11,713 60.90% 5,652 29.38%   Con   Green % 11,713 6,061 1,458 – – 19,232
Vancouver-Langara   Lib   NDP 8,506 48.43% 419 2.38%   Con   Green % 8,506 8,087 969 – – 17,562
Vancouver-Little Mountain New   NDP 15,636 62.11% 7,931 31.50%   Con   Green % 15,636 7,705 1,833 – – 25,174
Vancouver-Point Grey   NDP   NDP 12,538 56.77% 4,916 22.26%   Con   Green % 12,538 7,622 1,925 – – 22,085
Vancouver-Quilchena   Lib   Con 11,464 51.58% 2,815 12.68%   NDP   Green % 8,649 11,464 1,729 385 – 22,227
Vancouver-Renfrew   NDP   NDP 10,983 63.22% 5,656 32.56%   Con   Green % 10,983 5,327 1,064 – – 17,374
Vancouver-South Granville New   NDP 17,208 64.31% 10,530 39.35%   Con   Green % 17,208 6,678 2,872 – – 26,758
Vancouver-Strathcona   NDP   NDP 13,563 67.62% 10,136 50.53%   Con   Green % 13,563 3,427 2,731 – 336 20,057
Vancouver-West End   NDP   NDP 13,143 63.01% 7,466 34.79%   Con   Green % 13,143 5,677 1,893 144 – 20,857
Vancouver-Yaletown New   NDP 9,018 49.76% 1,160 6.40%   Con   Green % 9,018 7,858 1,248 – – 18,124
Vernon-Lumby   NDP   NDP 11,837 42.69% 476 1.72%   Con   Un % 11,837 11,361 – 4,266 265 27,729
Victoria-Beacon Hill   NDP   NDP 13,634 47.35% 3,989 13.85%   Green   Con % 13,634 5,514 9,645 – – 28,793
Victoria-Swan Lake   NDP   NDP 14,273 56.03% 8,373 32.87%   Green   Con % 14,273 5,146 5,900 – 156 25,475
West Kelowna-Peachland New   Con 13,475 50.85% 6,081 22.95%   NDP   Un % 7,394 13,475 – 5,630 – 26,499
West Vancouver-Capilano   Lib   Con 12,050 46.68% 5,045 19.55%   NDP   Ind % 7,005 12,050 1,435 5,326 – 25,816
West Vancouver-Sea to Sky   Lib   Green 10,438 38.08% 676 2.47%   Con   NDP % 7,212 9,762 10,438 – – 27,412
  1. ^ Including spoiled ballots
  2. ^ Minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote are aggregated under Other
  = BC United candidates who opted to stand on other tickets
  = Conservative candidates displaced on BC United candidate migration
  = Retiring incumbent subsequently chose to stand again as an Independent
  = Open seat
  = Turnout is above provincial average
  = Winning candidate held seat in previous Legislature
  = Ridings where BCU incumbent MLA failed to secure reelection
  = Incumbent had switched allegiance
  = Previously incumbent in another riding
  = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
  = Incumbency arose from byelection gain
  = Other incumbents renominated
  = Previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
  = Multiple candidates

Comparative analysis (2024 vs 2020)

Ternary plots of election results
  • Ternary plot of 2020 results
    2020: electoral districts won identified by NDP (orange), Liberal (red) and Green (green).
  • Ternary plot of 2020 results
    2024: electoral districts won identified by NDP (orange), Conservative (blue) and Green (green)
Strength of 1st-place finishes
  • Strength of 1st-place finishes compared between 2024 and 2020 results
    2024 vs 2020
  • 1st-place results analyzed by winning party
    2024 (by winning party)
Strength of 2nd-place finishes
  • Strength of 2nd-place finishes compared between 2024 and 2020 results
    2024 vs 2020
  • 2nd-place results analyzed by party
    2024 (by party finishing second)
Strength of other candidates
  • Strength of other candidate finishes aggregated, compared between 2024 and 2020 results
    2024 vs 2020
  • Other results grouped, with 3rd-place finishes identified by party
    2024
Marginality of election results
  • Marginality compared between 2024 and 2020 results
    2024 vs 2020
  • Marginal results analyzed by winning party
    2024 (by winning party)

Summary analysis

Party candidates in 2nd place[132]
Party in 1st place Party in 2nd place Total
NDP Con Grn Ind/Un
New Democratic 45 2 47
Conservative 40 4 44
Green 1 1 2
Total 41 46 2 4 93
Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results[132]
Parties Seats
█ New Democratic █ Conservative 85
█ New Democratic █ Green 3
█ Conservative █ Ind/Un 4
█ Conservative █ Green 1
Total 93
Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party[132]
Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
█ New Democratic 47 41 5
█ Conservative 44 46 3
█ Green 2 2 54 11
█ Ind/Un 4 18 21 9
█ Freedom 2 3
█ Libertarian 1 2 1
█ Communist 2 1
Resulting composition of the 43rd Parliament of British Columbia
Source Party
NDP Con Grn Total
Seats retained Incumbents returned 22 22
Open seats held 9 1 10
Seats changing hands Incumbents defeated 12 1 13
Open seats gained 2 11 13
Incumbents changing affiliation 6 6
Ouster of BCU incumbents standing as Independent/Unaffiliated 5 5
New seats Previously incumbent - NDP 6 6
Previously incumbent - BCU 1 1
New MLAs 8 9 17
Total 47 44 2 93

Student Vote results

Student Vote elections are mock elections that run parallel to real elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by CIVIX Canada, in partnership with Elections BC. Student Vote elections are for educational purposes and do not count towards the actual results.[133]

Summary of the 2024 BC Student Vote
Party Leader Seats Votes
Elected 2020 ± # % Change (pp)
New Democratic David Eby 43 58 Decrease 15 64,899 36.66 Decrease 3.20
Conservative John Rustad 40 1 Increase 39 63,973 36.13 Increase 33.68
Green Sonia Furstenau 10 17 Decrease 7 34,256 19.35 Decrease 8.33
  Independent 0 0 Steady 0 8,444 4.77 Increase 4.64
  No Affiliation 0 0 Steady 0 2,817 1.59
Freedom Amrit Birring 0 N/a N/a 1,352 0.76 N/a
Libertarian Alex Joehl 0 0 Steady 0 752 0.42 Decrease 1.10
Communist Kimball Cariou 0 0 Steady 0 424 0.24 Decrease 0.30
Christian Heritage Rod Taylor 0 1 Decrease 1 126 0.07 Decrease 1.05
BC United Kevin Falcon 0 12 Decrease 12
Valid votes 177,043 96.66 N/a
Rejected ballots 6,113 3.34 N/a
Total votes cast 93 87 Increase 6 183,156 100.00 N/a
Source: Student Vote BC 2024 complete results

Opinion polls

Campaign Period Polling with a local regression (LOESS) trend line for each party and a 5 day average
Overall Polling with a local regression (LOESS) trend line for each party and a 7 day average

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Furstenau was the incumbent MLA for Cowichan Valley, opting to switch ridings.
  2. ^ Previously served from 2001 to 2013.
  3. ^ Elected as member of the NDP, resigned from caucus on March 6, 2024[32]
  4. ^ Previously served from 2009 to 2013.
  5. ^ The party website listed 57 candidates at the time of the withdrawal of the party, however, Dave Sidhu was still listed as a candidate in Abbotsford West despite dropping out as a candidate earlier in August.[46]
  6. ^ 40 of them are standing as Independent, 14 of them as unaffiliated, and they are contesting in 42 ridings.
  7. ^ "Shelly Jan has withdrawn as a candidate in Langley-Abbotsford...Ballot printing for the election began on September 29 and is now complete. As a result, Shelly Jan will appear on the ballot for Langley-Abbotsford."[120]
  8. ^ The 19th Northwest Territories Legislative Assembly had achieved a majority of women MLAs in 2021, but only after a by-election.

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  • Elections BC
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